Investment Parameters
Interactive SlidersAnnualized compound growth
Adjusted for 2.8% inflation
After 15% estimated tax drag
Compute your true annualized compound return (CAGR), dividend yields, inflation-adjusted purchasing power, and compare your performance against the S&P 500, real estate, and treasury benchmarks.
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Calculates true purchasing power using the exact Fisher equation.
Direct comparison to 50-year S&P 500, Gold, Real Estate, and Bonds.
Full year-by-year schedule with CSV export and printable PDF reports.
Annualized compound growth
Adjusted for 2.8% inflation
After 15% estimated tax drag
Accurate portfolio analysis requires differentiating between simple arithmetic return, geometric compound return (CAGR), real inflation-adjusted return, and cash flow timing.
Where FV is the ending asset value, PV is the initial investment principal, and t is the investment duration in years. CAGR smooths out volatility to reveal the constant rate of return required for an asset to grow from starting to ending balance.
Measures total cumulative percentage return across capital gains and distributed income. While helpful for a single period, it does not account for how many years elapsed.
Where r_nominal is your gross return rate and i is the annual inflation rate (CPI). This eliminates monetary debasement to quantify how much your actual goods-and-services purchasing power grew.
Where PMT represents annual recurring contributions. This formula accounts for both the initial lump sum compounding over time and each subsequent deposit compounding for its remaining duration.
A simple mental shortcut for portfolio doubling time: divide 72 by your CAGR percentage. At a 10% annual return, your capital doubles every 7.2 years ($10k → $20k → $40k → $80k in 21.6 years). At a 6% return, doubling takes 12 years.
Reinvesting quarterly dividends allows you to purchase more shares during market pullbacks, dramatically boosting your compound share count. Over 30 years, an initial $10,000 S&P 500 investment with DRIP grows to over 3.5× the size of one where dividends were cashed out.
Holding broad-market index ETFs or utilizing tax-sheltered accounts (IRAs, 401ks, ISAs) prevents annual capital gains taxes from reducing your principal balance, preserving full compound velocity until liquidation.
Use these long-term historical annualized return figures to set realistic expectations for financial independence and portfolio planning.
| Asset Class | Nominal CAGR | Real CAGR (After Inflation) | Typical Volatility (Std Dev) | Best Role in Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (US Large-Cap Stocks) | 10.2% | 7.1% | ~15.5% (High) | Long-term wealth compounding |
| US Residential Real Estate | 7.4% | 4.3% | ~8.5% (Moderate) | Inflation hedge + rental yield |
| Physical Gold | 6.5% | 3.4% | ~14.0% (High) | Crisis hedge & store of value |
| US 10-Year Treasury Bonds | 4.6% | 1.5% | ~7.0% (Low-Mod) | Capital preservation & stability |
| High-Yield Cash / Money Market | 3.8% | 0.8% | ~1.2% (Very Low) | Emergency fund & short-term goals |
Simple Return on Investment (ROI) measures the total percentage gain or loss over the entire holding period, regardless of whether it took 6 months or 20 years. Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) normalizes the return to show what your annual geometric growth rate was each year. For example, doubling your money (+100% total ROI) over 10 years equals a 7.18% annual CAGR, not 10% per year, because compounding accelerates exponentially over time.
When dividends are taken as cash, they provide income but leave your principal compounding at a lower base. With Dividend Reinvestment Plans (DRIP), dividends purchase more shares, which themselves generate future dividends. Historically, over 40% of the total cumulative return of the S&P 500 over the past 50 years has come from reinvested dividends compounding over time.
Nominal return is the unadjusted percentage gain reported on your account statements. Real return reflects your true growth in purchasing power after accounting for inflation. Using the standard Fisher Equation, Real Return = ((1 + Nominal Rate) / (1 + Inflation Rate)) - 1. If your investment earns 9.5% nominal while inflation averages 2.8%, your real purchasing power increases by 6.52% per year.
Benchmarks vary across asset classes: broad market index funds (like total US stock market or S&P 500) have historically averaged ~10.2% nominal (~7.1% real) over multi-decade cycles. Residential real estate averages ~7.4% nominal, 10-year US Treasuries average ~4.6%, and gold averages ~6.5%. Returns above 8-10% annually after fees and taxes are considered exceptional for long-term portfolios.
Taxes create a persistent drag on compounding. When dividends and realized capital gains are taxed each year (e.g., at 15% or 20%), less money remains in the account to compound in subsequent years. Over 30 years on a $100,000 portfolio earning 10%, a 15% tax drag can reduce the final portfolio by over $350,000 compared to a tax-advantaged account like an IRA, 401(k), or ISA.
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